Incapacity of Moderate Arab Leaders

Intensifying internal criticism of the moderate Arab regimes in the region may indicate a growing instability and weakening in their delivery capability.
The attempt of members of the Arab League to launch a new Arab initiative in the UN Security Council to act to end the Arab-Israeli conflict has been largely unnoticed. Internal criticism of the moderate Sunni Arab leadership who promoted it may demonstrate their weakness.

Israel's national security policy has been based on a border regime model for each neighboring state, be it through peace agreement, occupation of land, or a wall of legitimacy. This policy has been based on the logic that Israel must operate vis-à-vis a single state Address on the other side.

The Reut Institute contends that Israel may need to reframe its national security logic in light of emerging systemic trends which erode the delivery capability of moderate Arab leadership:

  • Intensifying internal criticism of the Arab regimes in the region, who tout a nationalist logic and generally promote compromise with Israel, indicates a growing instability and weakening in their delivery capability.
  • International and regional actors and non-state armed groups, who promote a pan-Islamic rationale and associate with the permanent resistance to Israel, are growing increasingly more popular and powerful.

Sources

Samaha, al-Akhbar, 9/27/06

Slackman, New York Times, 8/20/06. Full text.